Fenrir Greyback, Warm Tan Head
- Theme
- Harry Potter
- Year
- 2026
- ID
- 001-016840
- BrickLink ID
- hp636
View other external IDs
- Brickowl
- 592196
- Rebrickable
- fig-017740
- Value
$10.66
Average 6 month sales · new · Refresh pending
- How to buy
Retail
You can buy this minifigure as part of 1 set
- ScoreBeta
43/100
2 exclusive parts
| Image | Part / Color | Design ID | Element or assembly ID | Quantity |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Warm Tan · Minifig Head Fenrir Greyback, Black Fur, Silver Eyes, Mean Smile / Open Mouth, Fangs · Unique BE-123554 | BD-37820 | BE-123554 | ×1 | |
Assembled colors · Assembly · Unique BA-315 | — | BA-315 | ×1 | |
Black · Solid BE-8047 | BD-26842 | BE-8047 | ×1 | |
Dark Brown · Solid · Unique BE-65878 | BD-2541 | BE-65878 | ×1 |
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Buying options, value history, and collecting score
Where to buy
Value, sales history, and collecting score
Value over time
Latest recorded estimate · USD
$11.38
Sep 5, 2026
-4.2%
over the shown history
Recorded estimates, not individual sales. Lines connect updates; gaps may contain unrecorded changes.
View recorded prices
| Date | Estimate |
|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | $11.38 |
| Aug 26, 2026 | $11.88 |
30-day outlook
Waiting for a fresh price
The latest estimate is more than 14 days old. We’ll show an outlook after a fresh update.
2 weekly observations · 9 days covered
How we calculate this
New and used are evaluated separately. We take the last estimate each week, then compare a recent price trend with keeping the last price unchanged.
Each check predicts an observation 23–37 days later using only earlier data. At least four separate checks are required. A trend must reduce average error by at least 10%; otherwise we hold the last price.
We withhold the outlook if prices are stale, recent changes are unusually large, or average percentage error exceeds 20%. These are screening rules, not a confidence rating. The same checks select the model and report its past error, so future accuracy may be worse.
No assumed price boosts for retirement, popularity, or rarity. This projects our market estimate, not the price a specific listing will sell for.
Sold vs. asking
USDUpdated Sep 5, 2026 · Refresh pending · BrickLink
Sold and asking averages · USD
new
- Sold
- $10.66
- Asking
- $12.11
used
- Sold
- No market data
- Asking
- No market data
Asking prices are listings, not completed sales. Compare like-for-like condition and included accessories.
Price details
| Condition | Average sold | Average asking |
|---|---|---|
| new | $10.66 | $12.11 |
| used | No market data | No market data |
We combine quantity-weighted sold and asking averages. If they differ by more than 10×, we use the lower value; if only one is available, we use it. Estimates apply to the shared figure, not a specific physical variant. Missing prices are not zero.
Collecting score
43/100
- Distribution
- 20/20
- Shelf time
- 0/15
- Attainment
- 13/45
- Components
- 10/20
Recent marketplace evidence does not establish limited supply. Uniqueness and price alone cannot qualify this figure as rare. Attainment points are capped to keep the score below the rare tier.
A complete launch-to-retirement window is not available for every containing set. Shelf time contributes zero points until that evidence is complete, so an active or undated set is never treated as scarce.
BrickLink Estimated Market Value is $11.38, derived from sold and asking averages with outlier protection across 41 sold figures, contributing 12/15 attainment points.
BrickLink market scarcity contributes 1/15 attainment points from 27 current listings containing 181 total minifigures.